The beginnings of a bounce.

Gallup has Obama up by 9 points and the Rassmussen poll has him up by 3 points. I suspect the Rassmussen poll bump has more to do with Bill and Biden. I don't think last nights speech has effected the rassmussen poll yet. I suspect rassmussen will widen more. I wasn't impressed last night but I suspect he did what he needed to lay out his agenda for the next couple of months.




McCain now needs to lay off the attacks during the convention and focus on his agenda. Give people a reason to vote for you beyond I'm a great guy with lot of experience and Obama is bad. If McCain wants to see his poll numbers go up, not just see Obama's go down, he has to lay out a positive agenda for the next 4 years. I will say this much. His VP pick shows off his maverick side and reaches out to the female voter. I think it is a good move.

She is kind of cute also. I wonder if she has a sister somewhere!!!

how to irritate an aethist

Dark Matter


Oh man you are going to love this one.

Or this one, My atheist Friends will hate this one

just a slip to whet your appetite. I can't stop smiling!!!

Astonishing discoveries have surfaced which point to the existence of a transcendent extra-dimensional Creator. Furthermore, numerous recent discoveries now confirm the incredible scientific and historical accuracy of the Bible, as well as the supernatural origin of its texts.
The entire Creator Series is now available in this one, self-contained CD-ROM. This CD-ROM includes all of these great studies:
The Creator Beyond Time and Space:
What are the implications of the current upheavals in traditional cosmology, astronomy, and physics? What is the significance of the recent discovery that the Universe is finite?
As scientists begin to understand the interactions of basic forces, they discover an unending series of incredible inter dependencies, delicately balanced.
As part of their recent series on the Creator Beyond Time and Space, Chuck Missler and Dr. Mark Eastman explore the recent scientific evidences revealing the Infinite Designer and a finite universe.

No bounce yet

maybe I don't know what I'm talking about but there is still no bounce yet from the DNC. According to the polls from Rasmussen and Gallup we are still locked in a virtual tie.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history

How does this not scare the hell out of democrats is confusing. Maybe it does and they are hiding it. Or we all are waiting for the giant speach at invesco field with the 75,000 adoring fans and the stage from Greek Mythology. I wonder if the speech he has planned there will give him his bounce or will it be another failure like his speech to the 20,000 adoring Germans. I think the problems is the election cycle this year has been way too damn long, the fighting between Hillary and he went on forever and ate up news cycle after news cycle. Any chance to reintroduce him self to people through the convention is gone. We all know him, we've seen so much said about him already. 4 days of speeches by his fellow democrats are just not going to move people much.

Time will tell.

Funniest Passive Aggressive Note ever

Apparently 5 girls and 2 men moved in together. After a year the guys got tired of getting up at 3 in the morning to let in the drunken girls who didn't bring their keys.

Article

1. Maybe you shouldn't room with Amy Winehouse.
2. If a drunken girl is pounding on your door in the middle of the night do you
(a.) Get up happily and take care of business
(b.) Right a note telling them they are going to die crack whores if they don't stop.

Well you do (a) if you like girls and you do (b) if your controlling mother has led you to putting up brad pitt posters in your room.

Proof Positive that Texas Tech will beat OU at home and win the Big 12 to go on to win the national Title

http://raiderpower.blogspot.com/2008/07/texas-tech-vs-oklahoma-ncaa-09.html

article


If you read it, you know I'm dreaming. But if we didn't like to dream, no one would buy lottery tickets. I think I need to go to 7-11.

Election Prediction

Right now and for the last couple of month the polls indicate a very slight movement toward McCain but the real issue is not those voting for McCain nor Obama. It's the 12% to 20% of voters that still haven't made up their mind. When they begin to break toward a candidate then we will know who has real chance to win. Fox News came up with a poll where they asked the question, if you had a life altering situation, who would you turn to for advice, McCain or Obama.

The results indicated good news for McCain especially among the undecided. Independent voters pick McCain by a 15-point margin (41 percent – 26 percent).

There is still plenty of time for Obama and McCain to begin moving those minds but right now McCain has a little sunshine in his camp. Not a lot but it's always nice to see the sun begin shining through the clouds.


Full Article
These undecided voters will likely determine the presidential election outcome. So what do they feel in their guts about the two candidates? The FOX News poll tried to get at that question by asking: If you had to make the “toughest decision” of your life, who would you rather get advice from — Obama or McCain?
Based on that question, there are signs that undecided voters may be more inclined to move to McCain than to Obama. The largest number of undecideds – 38 percent – would rather get advice from McCain – that’s nearly three times as many as the 13 percent that would go to Obama. The remaining say “neither” (27 percent) or are unsure (18 percent).
Furthermore, independent voters pick McCain by a 15-point margin (41 percent – 26 percent).
As one would expect, most Obama voters — 78 percent — say they would go to him for advice. Similarly, fully 83 percent of McCain voters would consider him their trusted guru on a tough life decision.

While 68 percent of Democrats would go to Obama for advice, nearly one of five – 18 percent – would pick McCain. Most Republicans (74 percent) would go to McCain, with less than one in 10 saying they would pick Obama (7 percent).
Overall, slightly more voters say they would turn to McCain in this situation (43 percent to 37 percent Obama).
In such a tight race for the White House, where both candidates have positive favorable ratings and strong support from their party faithful, there are some troubling signs for Obama from undecided voters

I was wrong

So I was wrong and the truth was, he never really even considered her seriously. I think from a getting elected perspective, I still think she and with her husband have something no candidate could offer. But it does create the risk of the election becoming more about her and bill than Obama. However, if I did get elected as the president the last person I would want as Vice President would be Hillary and Bill. Talk about fearing back stabbing and trying to take over the white house, not to mention Bill and the ladies!!!

So Biden, well I like Biden as a person. The field of Democrats in Iowa, I thought Biden had the most impressive resume. How anyone could choose John Edwards over Biden always confused me. Biden is generally a good person and very experienced. I think most of his ideas are wrong but that is just me.

Who will McCain go for????? That is a tough one. I don't like Mitt Romney and I'm sorry but how anyone can be a Mormon is confusing. I don't think it should be illegal but I have trouble voting for one. I like Lieberman but that choice is unlikely but one of my favorite. I'm a huge fan of Newt Gingrich but no chance of that. I would love, love, love to see either General Patreus or Colin Powell. But I can't tell if anyone is seriously pursuing this as an option. At this point there are a ton of Governors out there. I think the Florida Governor is awesome.

So my prediction.... Joe Lieberman!!!

You Heard It Here First!!!!

I thought it was weird when Obama gave Tuesday night to a Hillary speech and a Wednesday night speech to Bill. Then I heard that Obama is getting about 52% of the Hillary voters. That is not very good. Therefore, I predict that Hillary is the VP pick. With him falling behind in the polls he needs a boost. I think she is his one chance to turn around the drop. He needs someone who can attack McCain effectively and people will pay attention to what the VP is saying. She is the only candidate that can garner the media attention that would make her attacks effective. Also, Barrack is aware of how effective her attacks can be and she had to be gentle or alienate the far left forever.

You heard it here first !!!

Can McCain win New York?

Here we see McCain behind in new york by 11 points in May. The last week we see him closing by 3 points We also see undecided move from 8% to 14%. that is almost a double in those undecided. If McCain can carry New York, does he win the election? probably!!!! In almost all polls we see over 10% of the population undecided. Which way will they break. We know that during the Hillary Barack contest they tended to break to Hillary.

Obama will probably pull ahead here during the Convention and McCain will never catch up. But it's interesting to see NY leaning red.

We saw this with Hillary and now it's happening as Barack faces McCain

He just doesn't wear well with the American people. The more people get to know him the more people don't vote for him. Or it could be that McCain is coming after Obama hard and it's hurting him. When Hillary went after him hard, she made a lot of in roads.

The Reuters/Zogby Horserace	August	July
McCain	46%	40%
Obama	41%	47%
Not sure\/Other	13%	13%

Obama Support	July	August	Difference
Democrats	83%	74%	-9
Women	50%	42%	-8
Catholics	47%	36%	-11
Ages \<35>59%	47%	-12
College Grads	51%	40%	-11
Live in Cities	54%	43%	-11
Income \<$50,000	53%	46%	-7
Southerners	46%	35% -	11

Genius

Every once in a while you find a website that makes you hit yourself on the head and say, Why didn't I think of that!!!!

http://www.passiveaggressivenotes.com/2008/07/20/american-analog-threat/#comments

This is my favorite note so far. be sure and read some of the comments. They are almost as funny as the note themselves.

McCain wins first debate

I watched the Obama side and I'm looking forward to the McCain side of the debate. I have it Tivo'd but haven't watched it yet.

It's interesting that the first debate was held during the Olympics.

Here is an article claiming MCain won the night. I've even heard that Obama's people are claiming McCain cheated by knowing the questions before hand.

Synopsis:

This was not your usual political TV show. Warren — Pastor Rick, around here — asked big questions, about big subjects; he wasn’t concerned about what appeared on the front page of that morning’s Washington Post. And his simple, direct, big questions brought out something we don’t usually see in a presidential face-off; in this forum, as opposed to a read-the-prompter speech, or even a debate focused on the issues of the moment, the candidates were forced to call on everything they had — the things they have done and learned throughout their lives. And the fact is, John McCain has lived a much bigger life than Barack Obama. That’s not a slam at Obama; McCain has lived a much bigger life than most people. But it still made Obama look small in comparison. McCain was the clear winner of the night.

Here is why I think Obama is slime:

The contrast was striking throughout each man’s one-hour time on stage. When Warren asked Obama, “What’s the most gut-wrenching decision you’ve ever had to make?” Obama answered that opposing the war in Iraq was “as tough a decision that I’ve had to make, not only because there were political consequences but also because Saddam Hussein was a bad person and there was no doubt he meant America ill.” But Obama was a state senator in Illinois when Congress authorized the president to use force in Iraq. He didn’t have to make a decision on the war. That fact was a recurring issue in the Democratic primaries, when candidates Hillary Clinton, Joseph Biden, Christopher Dodd, and John Edwards argued that they, as senators, had to make a choice Obama didn’t have to make. And now he says it’s his toughest call.

Not to mention he was a state senator from an extremely liberal area of Chicago that was already opposed to the war. Wow that was really brave to claim to oppose a war that you couldn't effect and be on the position of most of the people you were representing.

and ...

McCain bested Obama again when Warren asked for an example of a time in which he “went against party loyalty and maybe even against your own best interest for the good of America.”“Well, I’ll give you an example that in fact I worked with John McCain on,” Obama said, “and that was the issue of campaign ethics reform and finance reform.” But it turned out that was an issue on which Obama had briefly allied with McCain and then jumped back to the Democratic mother ship, causing McCain to write Obama an angry note about the abandonment of what had been a principled position. As far as bucking your party goes, it wasn’t very big stuff.

So the one time he bucked his party was for a week to which he eventually caved and abandoned his promise to McCain. Hmmmmm.... So he has a habit of saying whatever the situation calls for and then not sticking to his promises. This sounds like his position on the war, oil drilling and everything else he has promised to win this election.

Obama did neither of these things but claims that he did and the press does nothing to hold his feet to the fire and demand a little thing I call... Accuracy! How the hell does this guy even get ratings above 40%? oh I know, the press gets wood in their pants every time he gets up and promises to be their savior.

Equal treatment creates Inequality

"From the fact that people are very different it follows that, if we treat them equally, the result must be inequality in their actual position, and that the only way to place them in an equal position would be to treat them differently. Equality before the law and material equality are therefore not only different but are in conflict which each other; and we can achieve either one or the other, but not both at the same time."
found at:

This is one of the reasons I don't like Obama. He wants to reward people for poor behavior. The power of Captalism is that it rewards people for good behavior (economically good) and punishes people for bad behavior. This leads to more good behavior and less bad behavior. It's painful at times but the only effective way to create real change in people's behavior is to provide incentive along with punishment. When you try to remove the pain of doing self-destructive things like not improving skill sets, taking risks, getting educated, not going to work, taking drugs or alchohol then you get more of this behavior. Therefore the cost of removing the pain of this behavior continues to go up which leads to more which leads to more cost which leads to more which leads to the collapse of the USSR and the embrace of captilism by the chinese or the bone crushing proverty of Cuba.

So when Obama promises Windfall profits taxes on Oil Companies and then promises $1,000 per person (who isn't rich) from this tax, I think WTF!!!! I'm not so stupid as to believe that the oil companies are going to absorb this tax out of their profits. No what we will see is energy costs go up because now the taxes oil companies pay went up, this is the last thing we need. Please keep the $1,00o and invest it in oil drilling, shale oil extraction, bio fuels, wind power, nuclear power, natural gas conversion of existing fleet, natural gas gas stations and electric cars.

drawing closer to war

found at

Let's play "What if". What if Russia shuts down the Georgia Pipeline? Well, if we look at the map we see that Russia could easily handle all the oil coming through Baku by using the existing pipeline from Baku north into Russia where the oil is easily mixed into existing pipelines from Russia that supply Europe.It gets better. What if Russia decides to go after Azerbaijan as well. Well, well, lots of wells...oil wells that is! If Russia controlled Azerbaijan they would have a route for Irans oil to flow directly into Russia where again it could be sold to Europe or used in Russia or even piped to Chita Russia and into China through the new planned Russian and Chineese oil pipe system. Iran would gain another exit route for its oil...a route secure from the US and Israel.The plot thickens. Suppose Israel acting on behalf of the US decide to attack Iran's nuclear facilities thus spreading nuclear fallout in Iran and possibly destroying the pipelines around Tehran. How much would Russia like that? Would they sit by and let it happen, knowing that the result would bring US troops to secure Iran's oil for the US.....oil that Russia wants to secure just as much as the US?Well, alot of what ifs, but if the US and Russia continue to both play the game of "Secure the Worlds Oil", then the outcome is inevedible....WW3.

John Edwards is confusing me

I can't tell if John Edwards is a total idiot or a Genius. So he gets caught in recent weeks going into a hotel room with a girl and spending, I believe the evening. He denies having an affair with this woman and being the father of the baby for weeks. Then goes on TV and says he had an affair with her in 2006 but that he is not the baby's father. And says he wants a paternity test but some how the woman doesn't want one?

Now didn't we just catch you visiting her in a hotel room like 3 weeks ago and you say the affair ended 2 years ago?

And why in the world did you go on TV and admit to an affair you were claiming didn't happen. What caused this shift and why go public.

It could be to try and save his political career. I think he is an idiot if he thinks that will happen. IT could be to continue grabbing headlines to continue hurting the Obama campaign. It could be that he committed a few crimes in funnelling campaign money to her and is trying to go on the record before she goes public or someone else does and tells the real truth.

I don't understand why he is prolonging this situation by going on TV and talking about it.

War, what is it good for!!

Lets begin this blog with one basic premise. War through out the centuries has been basically about who is controlling the resources two different sets of people want to control. It could be land, water, food and religious sites or buildings. But it is fundamentally about insuring a society has and controls resources vital to it's existence. I believe this deeply. I don't think it is all that great of a thing to do, but it is what the human race has done for as long as it was capable of waging war.

Now think about who the most dangerous countries in the world are: America, China, Europe, Russia and India. Then think about what is happening with Oil. The reason oil is doing what it is doing is that the middle class in China and India are growing very quickly. What does the middle class people like to do, drive their cars, cool their houses and eat good food. That all takes tons of energy. This situation scares the hell out of me!

Are we headed to war if we don't figure out our energy issues? I think we are. We have to focus all our resources on fixing our energy dependecy or we need to be investng in a bigger army. I know which one I want.